Welcome!

This blog provides commentary on interesting geological events occurring around the world in the context of my own work. This work is, broadly, geological fluid dynamics. The events that I highlight here are those that resonate with my professional life and ideas, and my goal is to interpret them in the context of ideas I've developed in my research. The blog does not represent any particular research agenda. It is written on a personal basis and does not seek to represent the University of Illinois, where I am a professor of geology and physics. Enjoy Geology in Motion! I would be glad to be alerted to geologic events of interest to post here! I hope that this blog can provide current event materials that will make geology come alive.

Banner image is by Ludie Cochrane..

Susan Kieffer can be contacted at s1kieffer at gmail.com


Wednesday, December 8, 2010

Beautiful, beautiful volcanic picture!

Klyuchevskaya Volcano, December 4, 2010 as observed by the Advanced Land Imager (ALI) aboard Earth Observing-1 (EO-1) satellite. You can link to a high resolution image that covers a larger area here.

This is one of those "worth a thousand word" pictures.  Rarely have I seen a photo in which the atmosphere is so clear around a volcano, the winds are so calm, the lighting is so perfect, and the eruption so striking.  No scale is given for this particular photo, but it is one of a series that have been rising to nearly 8 km (26,000 feet) from Klyuchevskaya.  Perhaps even more striking than the plume is the beautiful collar of pileus clouds surrounding the higher flanks of the mountain. Pileus is the Latin word for "cap". They form when updrafts push up moist air from lower altitudes.  In rising, the air cools to its dew point, causing droplets to form and create the cloud. Pileus clouds often form over cumulus clouds, and over rising plumes themselves as shown in this post about the eruption of Sarychev Peak volcano.

Volcanic plumes have two parts. Near the vent from which they emerge, the ascent of the plume is driven by momentum.  Further away from the vent, the plume rises buoyantly, and at high elevations (not shown here), some plumes form an umbrella. My guess is that this one did not. Plumes transport volcanic ash.  Near the plume, the primary control on ash dispersal is the plume itself--it's momentum and buoyancy characteristics and, to some extent, its interaction with the atmosphere as air is entrained into the eruption column.  Further away from the plume, atmospheric structure and winds control the dispersal of ejecta.  An excellent reference on volcanic plume dynamics is "Physics of Explosive Volcanic Eruptions", Special Publication 145 of the Geological Society of London, edited by R.S.J. Sparks and J.S. Gilbert, 2002.

Thursday, December 2, 2010

Cold Lahars Displacing People at Mount Merapi, Indonesia

Dredging in the Code River, Yogyakarta
Photo from here.
Eruptions at Mount Merapi, discussed herehere, and here before in this blog, produced ash and other debris that sits atop the mountain awaiting the monsoon rains. Those rains have arrived; the wet monsoon season in Indonesia lasts from November through March. For weeks muddy torrents have been flowing down from the mountain. On November 30 an apparently big one, reported to be up to 2 meters deep, arrived. According to the Nov. 30 edition of the JakartaGlobe, thousands of residents were forced to evacuate. These muddy flows of volcanic materials are termed "lahars", and they can be either hot or cold depending on the timing of the volcanic activity and the weather.

The lahars flow down the channel of the Code River, which flows through the center of Yogyakarta.  The river has been channelized to control the path of the lahars, a historic danger from Merapi. Sandbags up to 1 meter high help control the flows, but authorities have warned residents that these temporary levees will not contain the large flows that are likely to occur.  Surono, the head of the Volcanology and Geological Disaster Mitigation Agency (PVMBG) has warned that people should stay 300 meters away from the river.  Evacuation has been hindered by damage to roads and bridges, as well as by heavy traffic from people coming in to see the disaster.

An interesting side-bar mentioned in the DredgingToday.com article linked in the figure caption is that the dredging of the Code River has been hampered by the lack of heavy machinery.  However, people living near the river have been helping by manually carting material away.  Apparently it is well known that the volcanic mud is rich in nutrients, and a truck of this material is fetching 50-60 thousand Rp! (50,000 rupiahs convert to about $5.50 US.)

Tuesday, November 30, 2010

Cold winds, ancient life, and fossil preservation

Sea scorpion fossil from the Soom Shale,
South Africa, ~440 m.y. old
Credit: Univesity of Leicester, as reported
in ScienceDaily, 11/29/2010

Schematic diagram of possible origin of the Soom Shale
from Gabbott et al., 2010, ref. in text
The Soom Shale in South Africa is rich in well-preserved fossils, and geologists have wondered both why they were so abundant, and why they are so well-preserved. In some fossils, you see not only the bone structure, but muscles, gills and swimming paddles.  The answer appears to lie in the story of fierce winds pouring off an ancient glacier, presented in a paper in Geology this month (Gabbott, S.E. et al., Eolian input into the Late Ordovician postglacial Soom Shale, South Africa, Geology, 38(12), 1103-1106.)

During the Hirnantian glacial event, a 1-2 million year event at the end of the Ordovician period which extended from 490-433 million years ago, ice built up over the primitive continent of Gondwana.  his was a period of diverse marine invertebrates and early vertebrates. The ice sheet collapsed rapidly at the end of this time, producing a variety of glacial deposits,topped by the Soom Shale, a 10-15 m-thick black shale. The demise of the marine communities at the end of the Ordovician is widely viewed as the second most devastating extinction to marine life in the history of the earth, and the third largest of the five major extinctions. T Sarah Gabbott and colleagues analyzed thin sections of the shale and found that it contains coarse silt and fine sand in discrete layers (laminae) that are associated with organic material derived from plankton.  They concluded that the geologic setting resembled that found today on the McMurdo Ice Shelf in the Antarctic.  Dust, carried by fierce glacial winds, blew off the ice shelf and into the sea where it fell through the water column.  It carried nutrients that stimulated the production of phytoplankton, which sank to the bottom. In a press release, Gabbott speculated that not only did the nutrients fuel life, they preserved it well when the rotting carcusses sank into the cold, stagnant depths.  "A cold wind, here, was key to both life and death."

A few terms: plankton are the organisms that drift in the oceans, seas or bodies of fresh water.  There are three primary groups, defined according to their function: phytoplankton that use light for photosynthesis (a "producer"); zooplankton that feed on the phytoplankton (a "consumer"); and bacterioplankton (a "recycler"), which basically recycle the other two types of plankton.

Related posts on this blog: katabatic winds and icebergs,
katabatic winds and Mars.

Sunday, November 21, 2010

Coal Mine Explosion in New Zealand

The entrance to the Pike River Coal mine.  Photo/NZPA
published by the nzherald.co.nz, Nov. 19, 2010
On November 19, 1 man was killed and 27 miners are missing due to an explosion in the Pike River coal mine on the south island of New Zealand.  The mine has been under development since the 1970's, and is excavating from the largest hard-coking coal deposit in New Zealand. It is in an environmentally sensitive area, and has been lauded as an exemplary development in a sensitive area.  The tunnel, seen at the left, goes nearly 2.5 km nearly horizontally into the mountain.  The trapped miners may only be a few hundred feet underground.

From this Wiki site
Dangers in coal mines arise from at least three factors: the presence of both methane and carbon dioxide gases, and coal dust.  In this particular area of New Zealand, active faults produce a seismic risk as well.  Other causes of accidents are rock bursts, collapse of natural or artificial pillars, flooding, malfunctioning of equipment, and improper use of explosives in the mining process.  Methane gas is nasty stuff: an asphyxiant, flammable and potentially explosive.

The combustion of methane, CH4, is exothermic.  When combined with two O2 molecules, it decomposes to form CO2 (gas) and 2 H2O (liquid) molecules, releasing 891 kJ of energy. It is both flammable and explosive.  When mixed with oxygen and nitrogen in air in certain mixtures (orange region on the ternary diagram to the right), it will explode. The blue line represents air. If there is less than about 5% methane in the mixture it is too lean to explode (the LEL point on the diagram), and if there is more than about 15%, it is too rich to explode (the UEL point).

The process of mining coal generates an enormous amount of coal dust.  When high concentrations of this are suspended in air, and there is even a small ignition source, the nearly instantaneous reaction of the fine coal particles with oxygen can produce an explosion.  The ignition source does not need to be a flame; it can be an electrostatic discharge, friction, or sparks from machinery.  Dust explosions are not restricted to coal mines, but have occurred around grain silos, flour mills, and metal works (aluminum, titanium).  They are intentionally part of thermobaric weapons; see my older post here.

Friday, November 19, 2010

Degassing of Comet Hartley 2--Geysers causing a cosmic snow storm!

Images from the HIgh-Resolution Imager on NASA's EPOXI spacecraft.
Credit: NASA/JPL-Caltech UMD
More images can be found at http://epoxi.umd.edu/
In this amazing image released this week by  NASA's EPOXI mission, two different dynamic processes are shown.  The tiny (~0.93 mile length) peanut-shaped object is Comet Hartley 2. (It's actually being described as more like a drumstick with knobby ends than a peanut.) The images, in different infrared wavelengths, show the distribution of water vapor, dust, CO2, and ice crystals around the comet. The NASA press releases   emphasize that the difference between the smooth and rough areas on this comet are associated with the a difference in the erupting gas: water vapor from the smooth central section, and CO2 from the jagged ends of the peanut. From press articles, it appears that Hartley 2 is producing about 200 tons per second of water vapor; the flux of CO2 has not been estimated as far as I can tell. The H2O vapor production rate is comparable to the rate estimated for production by the plumes at the south pole of Enceladus, an active satellite of Saturn.

Artist's conception of degassing on Comet Hartley 2.
NASA/JPL-Caltech/UMD/McREL
An analysis of the dynamics of the jets as geysers erupting into a vacuum can be found in Yelle, R.V., Soderblom, L.A., and Jokippi, J.R., Formation of jets in Comet 19P/Borrelly by subsurface geysers, Icarus, 167, 30-35, 2004. Their proposal is that there are cavities in the subsurface of the comet that have nozzle-like outlets to the vacuum of space.  As gas flows from a cavity through a narrow nozzle, the flow becomes collimated, and focused jets such as those observed in these images are produced.  Dust is entrained in the gas flow and is accelerated out into a fairly linear jet.  When the gas leaves the cavity, it expands laterally because of the high overpressures compared to the vacuum of space, but the density drops so rapidly that the dust grains that it has been carrying continue on their collimated trajectories, decoupled from the gas.  The result is a diffuse gas cloud with collimated beams of dust or ice. This appears to be the first time that it's been shown that sublimation of subsurface carbon dioxide drives the outgassing of a comet's nucleus.

Other articles of interest: Emily Lakdawalla writes The Planetary Society Blog and has a nice essay describing the features on the comet.

Thursday, November 18, 2010

Football can be dangerous...in more ways than expected!

A shelf cloud. Photographer: Jake Deremer.
 Source http://epod.usra.edu
on November 18, 2010.
A wonderful source of potential topics and images for this blog is Earth Science Picture of the Day at http://epod.usra.edu, which is where I found this great photo today.  This photo was taken at a football game between Kansas State University and the University of Central Florida on September 25, 2010 and, as far as I can tell, even though it looks somewhat like a watercolor painting, it has not been Photoshop'd!  Due to the danger of lightning and damaging winds, the football game was suspended for about 90 minutes.
from this WWW site 

This cloud formation is a so-called "shelf cloud", a not uncommon cloud in the midwest. Google it and you get a stunning array of images! It is a type of "arcus cloud", a low, horizontal cloud formation.  There are two types of arcus clouds, one associated with outflows of cold air from cold fronts and the other specifically associated with thunderstorms. The type of  cloud shown here is associated with thunderstorms.  The cartoon to the right shows the dynamics leading to the formation of the shelf cloud.  Cold air, descending from a thunderstorm on the left, sweeps out along the ground (blue arrows), displacing warm humid air toward the right.  The warm air rises and droplets of moisture nucleate to form the cloud.  It was named a shelf cloud because of the "uniform flatness of the cloud base region where moist air that usually originates from the lowest part of the boundary layer achieves homogeneous condensation (discussed in Fankhauser, et al., Bull. Amer. Meteoritical Soc., 64(5), 450-462, 1983)." In this photo you can see up under and behind the roll cloud. Note that the shelf cloud is "connected" to the thunderstorm cloud driving the system.
A roll cloud in Uraguay.  Photo by Daniela Mirner Eberl
taken in January 2009.

A bit of practical advice: A shelf cloud precedes a storm. It is generally associated with a squall line, and marks the place where strong winds begin.  Take note and take shelter!

The second type of arcus cloud is a "roll cloud".  These form when cold air from an advancing cold front advances under a warmer humid layer, typically over relatively long distances.  The humid air roles up around a horizontal axis.  These waves are a form of soliton, having a single peak and maintaining the shape as they advance.  Unlike shelf clouds, the roll clouds are not connected to another set of clouds. Note the clear air behind the cloud (to the left).

Monday, November 15, 2010

Why does a geologist care about the Sudan and John Kerry?

from World Book Student
Sudan is an impoverished nation south of Egypt. The Nile river divides the country into east and west, religious agendas divide the north from the south.  Northern Sudan is dominated by an Islamic government and the Arabic language. The south is dominated by Christians and anamists.  Civil wars between Northern and Southern Sudan began in 1955, the year before independence from Anglo-Egyptian rule that had been in place since 1899.  These were fueled by complicated historical events, and fears by the southerners that the north would dominate them after independence. Conflict raged from 1955 to 1972, followed by a 10-year haitus, but civil war broke out again from 1983. Since 1983, civil war and famine have claimed the lives of nearly 2 million people.  From 1989 to 2005, war continued, terminating with the Nairobi Comprehensive Peace Agreement that granted Southern Sudan autonomy for six years, to be followed by a referendum about independence.

This brings us to the present.  Voter registration begins today (November 15, 2010) for the referendum vote, which is to take place on January 9, 2011.. It is being observed by representatives from the European Union.  John Kerry was in Khartoum on November 7 to carry the message from Obama that the US is committed to peace and to the negotiations.  Obama has offered proposals, and there are fairly explicit hints that lifting sanctions on Sudan is on the table.

Why does a geologist care? Oil and water.  70% of the oil in Sudan lies in the south, but land locked southern Sudan has no way to get the oil to market unless it either goes through northern Sudan, or builds alternate pipelines, probably through Kenya.  The north isn't sure that it can survive on 30% of the oil revenues. And, water--the Nile river has headwaters in the south.  Transboundary water issues may become increasingly frequent in the 21st century as it becomes the so-called "new oil."  Tension is present between the US and Mexico because of the trans-boundary Colorado River, and Bangladesh has over 50 rivers that begin in India or Myanmar. 17 countries share the Danube, 11 share the Congo and Niger, 10 share the Nile, 9 share the Rhine and Zambezi, 8 share the Amazon and Lake Chad, and 6 share the Aral Sea, the Tigris and Euphrates, and the Volta. These and other data are available here.

Sunday, November 14, 2010

Solar activity (and Newt Gingrich)

The dark area spanning the equator of the sun slightly to the right of
center on this photograph is a large coronal hole, from which high
energy charged particles started streaming from the sun on November
14.  Photo credit: SDO/AIA.
On Friday, November 12, this sunspot erupted producing a solar flare
that ejected material toward the earth.  The material is expected to "deliver a
glancing blow to Earth's magnetic field sometime on Nov. 14th or 15th."
Photo credit SDO; can be obtained here.
CLICK ON THE IMAGE TO SEE A MOVIE  
After a sluggish start to the current active phase of the solar cycle, the sun is now developing some active sunspot groups.  The sun has a high-density core at a temperature of over 13 million K extending to about 0.25 of its radius.  above this, extending to about 0.7 solar radius is a so-called radiative zone where heat is transported by radiation.  This is surrounded by an outer layer heat is transported by convection of hot material to the surface. The visible surface of the sun is called the photosphere.

Sunspots are regions of strong magnetic activity which reduces convection of energy from the interior to the surface. As a result, they are cooler than other areas of the sun--a mere 3000-4500 K in contrast to the surrounding material at about 5,780 K.  The magnetic field causes strong heating in the corona--the extended atmosphere of the sun.  These active regions are the source of solar flares and "coronal mass ejections" (CME's), emissions of matter, magnetic fields and electromagnetic radiation.  It is believed that the ejections are caused by magnetic reconnection--the rearrangement of magnetic lines of force when two oppositely directed magnteic fields are brought into proximity.  The rearrangement releases energy that was stored in the original oppositely directed fields.  The movie at the bottom shows a spectacular coronal mass ejection on October 1, 2001.  The images in the movie were taken by SOHO's (Solar Orbiting Heliospheric Observatory) LASCO (Large Angle and Spectrometric Coronograph) instrument.

There is a Science Daily article on coronal mass ejections here and an interesting article speculating on the effects of charged particles either from a CME or from a nuclear burst on our infrastructures here.  Former House speaker Newt Gingrich, a likely presidential contender, views this as an enormous threat, and it will be interesting to see if he makes it an issue if he campaigns!

Friday, November 12, 2010

Merapi--again! Disrupts Obama visit this week

A village covered with ash from an eruption on
Thursday, November 11, 2010.  Photographer unknown,
source
According to some reports, the death toll from the on-going Merapi eruptions has exceeded 200, and nearly 400,000 people have been displaced from their homes and villages. President Obama visited Indonesia earlier this week, but cut his visit short be several hours so that his plane would not be caught by changing winds.  To date, the eruptions have released about 140 million cubic meters, exceeding the 100 million cubic meters estimated to have erupted in 1872.

In a paper in press for Geophysical Research Letters (now online), Anchukaitis et al. have examined the influence of volcanic eruptions on climate, and arrive at conclusions that challenge the major results from the Global Circulation Models currently used to model climate.  Those models predict that large volcanic eruptions should result in unusually dry conditions through the regions of Asia that experience monsoons. Anchukaitis et al. used two long tree ring-based proxy's to reconstruct moisture patterns. The first was a tree-ring chronology from a long-lived ccypress species in southern Vietnam, and the second is the "Monsoon Asia Drough Atlas", which also includes tree-ring proxies.  These reconstructed conditions indicate that the response to volcanic eruptions is an anomalously wet southeast Asia and dry conditions over central Asia, a conclusion that is the exact opposite of effects predicted by three widely used climate models: CSM1.4, CCSM3, and GISS ModelE. The authors also conclude that strong El Nino and La Nina weather conditions could be important.  Anchukaitis concludes "...that some GCMs do not correctly capture the balance of important coupled ocean-atmosphere processes involved in the response of Asian climate to radiative forcing.  In a press release accompanying the article the authors also caution that the study suggests that proposed geoengineering schemes to counteract manmade climate change with huge artificial release of sulphates similar to those emitted by volcanoes might have complex unintended consequences.

As of this time, volcanologists do not think that the eruption at Merapi is big enough, or sulfurous enough, to affect the climate.

Wednesday, November 10, 2010

9/11 Waterfall being set up at ground zero

A quick note to the fluid dynamicists: here's a BBC news article and video of a waterfall project being tested at Ground Zero in NYZ. I don't know any of the details, but there's some good footage of waterfalls on that site.  It appears that testing of the waterfalls if just beginning, and so there should be more news soon.

Tuesday, November 9, 2010

Where did the groundwater in the Pacific Northwest come from?

Dry Falls, a 350 foot high, 3 mile wide group of cliffs
that formed during the floods that scoured the
Channeled Scablands.  Photo from the U.S. Geological Survey,
available here. Dry Falls is ten times the size of Niagara
Falls, and was formed over a short period of time during the
catastrophic Missoula Floods.
Toward the end of the last ice ages, approximately 20,000 years ago, ice plugged several of the rivers that normally drained water from the area we now know as Montana.  Behind the ice dams, a gigantic lake, Lake Missoula formed.  Repeatedly, the ice dams broke and catastrophic flood, with discharges on the order of a million cubic meters per second, raced down old and new channels, flooding parts of Idaho, Washington, and Oregon under hundreds of feet of water in just a few days.

In a new paper, Brown et al. propose that these floods, in spite of their brevity, provided the groundwater that is now present within the aquifers of the Columbia River Basalts that cover the region (Brown, K.B., et al., Isotopically-depleted late Pleistocene groundwater in Columbia River Basalt aquifers: Evidence for recharge of glacial Lake Missoula floodwaters, Geophysical Research Letters, vol. 37, L21402, 5 pp, 2010.).  This region is semi-arid today, and general climate models suggest that it was colder and drier during the Last Glacial Maximum.  The groundwaters have anomalously low del O18 and delD values, and radiocarbon ages between 15.7 and 19.6 thousand years before present, and the authors suggest that they were recharged from multiple pulses of the Missoula flood events.  Several groundwaters have even older radiocarbon ages and may have come from earlier undocumented Missoula flood events.  The mechanism by which aquifers could be charged with such huge volumes of water in times of just a few days, even with repeated episodes, are unknown, but the large depth (366 m) and volume (>1200 cubic kilometers) of the ponds formed during the floods may have helped drive the water into the aquifers.  These waters are important for agricultural and domestic water resources in central Washington, and--like the Great Lakes--may not be replenished under current geological conditions.


Monday, November 8, 2010

Ice stalactite dynamics

An icy stalactite in Oregon Caves National
Monument.  Photo by Phil Lachman
can be found here, where it was
the Photo of the Day on Nov. 8, 2010.
Icy stalactites are basically icicles! They have some characteristics in common with the better-known rocky stalactites and stalagmites  formed out of CaCO3 when water rich in this compound flows into open spaces or caves. Examples of this kind of stalactite are found in the Mammouth Caves, Kentucky.

Icy stalactites have been observed beneath sea ice, e.g., in the McMurdo Sound area of the Antarctic.  The bottom of a sea ice sheet has numerous "disconnected ice platelets protruding downward" (R.A. Paige, Stalactite growth beneath sea ice, Science, v. 167, pp. 171-172, 1970).  This is called the "skeleton layer", and ranges in thickness from a few centimeters up to 60 cm.  Part of this layer consists of freshwater stalactites.  These can extend up to a meter or more below the skeleton layer.  The process by which briny water forms freshwater stalactites is fairly complicated (see discussion in the Paige article above).

Ice stalactites in caves are similar to icicles observed to form on houses and trees in cold climates. In common with CaCO3 stalactites You can see videos of icicles grown under laboratory conditions here. Steven Morris of the University of Toronto has studied the growth mechanisms of icicles in detail and in lab experiments. The basic process involves the slow downward flow of water either into the ocean or into air.  As the water flows, it may cool to form ice.  Latent heat of fusion is given up and must be transported out through the flowing film of water and into the external seawater or air. (In the case of CaCO3 stalactites, CO2 liberated in the process must be transported out through the water film and into the air.)

Two effects operate to produce the rippled texture of icicles.  Latent heat is more efficiently transferred out of the system on the convex protrusions than from the convex indentations, which tends to make the protrusions grow faster than the indentations.  This is the so-called "Laplace instability".  It is countered by heat transfer down the icicle by the flowing water.  Operating together, they produce a remarkable constant ripple spacing of about 1 cm, although the amplitude of the ripples can vary from one icicle to another.

Morris asked: Do the ripples move?  One group of researchers (Ogawa and Furukawa, Physical Review E, October 2002) that developed a physical model for the ripple development predicted that the ripples should migrate down an icicle at about half the speed that the icicle grows.  Another author (Ueno, Phys. Rev. E69 (5) 2004) predicted that the ripples would move up. Morris was able to use edge detection methods on videos of the icicle development to show that the ripples moved upward very slightly.

Sunday, November 7, 2010

Mount Merapi and "ash hurricanes"

This image from NASA's ASTER instrument on the Terra satellite shows
a signature of hot ash and gases flowing down the flank of Merapi volcano
as well as a hot spot on the central dome.  Image taken on November 1.
Since the eruption of Mount Merapi started on October 26, 2010,at least 156 people have died (reports are not consistent at this time).  Press reports have told of people dying from burns and ash suffocation, but no evidence had surfaced regarding the cause of the burns and suffocation because bad weather had prohibited direct observation of the volcano.  Now, the ASTER instrument on NASA's Terra satellite has documented that hot pyroclastic flows ("ash hurricanes") have been sweeping down the flanks of the volcano. (A video of pyroclastic flows on Merapi from previous eruptions can be found here by scrolling down the post to the video.) Temperatures of 450-600 degrees Celsius (842-1112 Fahrenheit have been reported by the Indonesian Volcanology Technology Development and Assessment Agency.  I have found a good blog on the Merapi eruption by Erik Klemetti here.

Merapi in eruption; images from
Clara Prima/AFP/Getty Images posted
on Washingtonpost.com.
What drives pyroclastic flows? In the early frames of the video, large boulders can be seen bouncing down the hill side-by-side with the pyroclastic flow.  This indicates that the flow, like the bouncing boulders, is being driven downhill by gravitational forces.  When gravity is the main driving force, hot material generally is confined to a valley--it's running downhill.  It can "run up" and over hills because of momentum--just like a car that loses its brakes at the top of a hill may race downhill and up the other side of a valley--but generally flows given by gravity follow the terrain. In later frames of this video, including a spectacular segment taken at night, you can see that the pyroclastic flows are being generated by collapse of individual pieces of the steep lava dome.  Section after section is peeling off and falling down and, as the sections impact the ground or other collapsing pieces, they fragment to release fragments and gasses that combine to give form the pyroclastic flow itself.  You do not see "blowouts" of gas-rich material in this video.

A more dangerous condition may arise if pressurized gases inside the collapsing dome decompress rapidly, forming blowouts. Jon Fink and I considered some of these conditions in a paper in Nature, vol. 363, pp. 612-615, 1993.  This paper was motivated by the fact that a pyroclastic flow on Mount Unzen on June 3, 1991, killed three volcanologists who were on high ground that had escaped damage from pyroclastic flows earlier in the eruption.  What happened?  We speculated that a section of the dome containing slightly more volatiles than earlier collapsed sections produced a pyroclastic flow that had higher velocities than had been produced in earlier volatile-poor eruptions.  We concluded that velocity excesses of over 100 m/sec could be caused by decompression of gases in such a section.  These flows would not be confined to valleys, such as the flows to date appear to have been at Merapi, but can have broader extent and longer runout distances. The lateral blast at Mount St.Helens was such a blast.

In spite of the inconveniences and economic consequences, it is necessary to evacuate people from areas around the volcanic summit that appear safe based on the trajectories of small, gravity-driven pyroclastic flows, but that may be devastated by more gas-rich eruptions. Reportedly, about 200,000 people have been displaced by the current eruption.

Friday, October 29, 2010

Mount Merapi erupts again

Mount Merapi on a clear day,
photo from
http://uktodaynews.com/9910/indonesias-volcano-mount-merapi-erupts-again/
Mount Merapi in Indonesia began erupting on October 25 (2010), causing 38 deaths including the "gatekeeper" of 220 years.  Merapi is a dangerous and heavily monitored volcano, with a long history of eruptions. It builds domes which collapse, effuses lava flows, pyroclastic flows and lahars.  It has been argued that a major eruption in 1006 AD weakened the Mataram civilization of Central Java, causing it to move from Central to East Java (see summary of 10,000 years of Merapi history in Newhall et al., Journal of Volcanology and Geothermal Research, v. 100, Issues 1-4, pp. 9-50, 2000). A distinguishing feature of Merapi, shown in the photo to the left, is a "somma", an opening in the summit to the southwest.  Such "sommas" usually indicate that a flank of the volcano has collapsed; the "amphitheater" at Mount St. Helens that opens to the north is such a feature. Hard evidence for the collapse such as obvious avalanche deposits has not been found and so the somma itself is the best evidence for this process. Eruptions in the 20th-21st century have been rather mild, and less explosive than those for which the field evidence suggests occurred between the 7-19th centuries A.D.  Dome collapse producing pyroclastic flows is so characteristic of this volcano that this style of eruption has been called "Merapi-type" at volcanoes over the world.  Volcanologists suspect that the 20th century "mild" activity of Merapi is just an interlude between larger events typical of the past record.  Precursors of such an event are not known, resulting in a dangerous situation for the hundreds of thousands of people who now live around the volcano.  80,000-100,000 live inside"The Forbidden Zone", an area of about 10 km radius on the south west side.  Several hundred thousand more live just outside this zone.  Volcanologists work with the populace to come to an understanding that prediction is not an exact science, that there will be false alarms, but that risk management is a necessary public good.  A documentation of historical eruptions between 1768-1998 is available in Voight et al., Journal of Volcanology and Geothermal Research, volume 100, issues 1-4, pp. 69-138, 2000.
From the U.S. Geological Survey

Monday, October 25, 2010

Santorini volcano

Santorini calder in the Aegean, Greece
Photo by Aster aboard the Terra spacecraft, NASA
Santorini Volcano erupted about 30 cubic kilometers of magma in ~1650 B.C. The ash column is estimated to have risen to ~36 kilometers (~22 miles).  The eruption of such a large volume left a large caldera (the whole image is 18 x 18 km). There has been much speculation that this eruption is the source of the myth of the lost land of Atlantis.  The largest island is There, the next largest is Therasia, and the small islands in the center of the caldera are the Kameni Islands, which are the site of ongoing mild activity.  The most recent eruption was phreatomagmatic eruption in 1950, in which phreatic activity preceded the effusion of lavas.  There may have been a precursor to this island as early as 197 BC, but the current island appears to have started in 46 AD.  Interestingly, it was described by a number of the Roman historians, including Pliny the Elder, who would die 33 years later in the eruption of Vesuvius.

Saturday, October 23, 2010

Typhoon Megi causes multiple landslides in Taiwan

Landslide in Taiwan as a result of Typhoon Megi
Photo from BBC news
Landslides in Taiwan have stranded 400 drivers, buried a Chinese tourist bus carrying 19 passengers, and inundated a Buddhist temple, killing three people and leaving six missing.  Megi dumped 45 inches of rain to one county on the north east tip of Taiwan in just 48 hours. As of today (October 23) Megi has existed for XXX days since it first formed off of the Philippines.  The record for cyclone duration belongs to Typhoon John, which lasted 31 days in 1994.  John formed in the northeast Pacific, travelled west across the international dateline, and then recurved back and crossed it again.  Since convention indicates that cyclones be named "hurricane" if they are east of the dateline and "typhoon" if they are west of it, John's name changed twice! Megi attained typhoon status on October 14, and thus has a long way to go to challenge the duration record.  It is, however, one of the strongest storms to make landfall anywhere in the world after attaining "supertyphoon" status on October 16 (see earlier post).

Friday, October 22, 2010

Volcanoes and atom bombs

Photo of Matua volcano, Siberia, taken by NASA astronauts
Detonation of a thermobaric (fuel-air) bomb by the Russians.
Believed to be the largest of its kind ever detonated.
The New York times recently had a photo documentary of development of the atomic bomb. The photo below is of a "fuel-air bomb", often called a "vacuum bomb". This type of explosive uses oxygen from the surrounding air to increase the duration, and destructiveness, of the shock waves/fireball. They were first developed by the Germans during WWII, and are in use by modern military and in guerilla warfare (1993 World Trade Center bombing, 2002 Bali bombings).

Some volcanoes have eruptions that are "explosive" enough to produce shock waves.  These were first recognized by Perret during explosive eruptions of Vesuvius in 1906, and were later observed and analyzed quantitatively at Ngauruhoe, New Zealand (Nairn, I.A., Nature 259 (5540, pp. 190-192, 1976). On June 12, 2010, NASA astronauts were able to capture the photo at the left of an eruption of Matua volcano, Siberia.  You can't see the shock wave directly, but can see the hole that it punched through the cloud deck.  The rising ash plume has also pushed up a layer of moist air forming a pileus "cap cloud".  A pyroclastic flow is visible at the base of the column, descending toward 5 o'clock on the flank of the volcano.  Volcanologists use some of the same basic concepts about shock waves that were developed to analyze shocks from atomic bombs, and although we talk about the energy released in eruptions in terms of "kilotons" or "megatons". For example, I analyzed the energetics of the lateral blast at Mount St. Helens in 1980, and concluded that about 24 megatons of energy was released during the blast (Kieffer, S.W., Nature, 291, 568-570, 1981).

Thursday, October 21, 2010

Hotel Montana, Haiti, and amplified seismic waves

Hotel Montana, Haiti, after the January 12, 2010 earthquake
Photo credit

The 2010 Haiti earthquake killed over 230,000 people, and caused extensive damage in the capital, Port-au-Prince.  Three factors have generally been cited as causes of the extensive damage: (1) the proximity of the city to the earthquake; (2) poor construction; and (3) liquifaction and soft-sediment amplification. These factors do not, however, explain why the relatively well-constructed buildings, such as the Hotel Montana, two United Nations buildings, and a number of substantial private residences sitting on a relatively hard bedrock ridge also suffered extensive damage. In a Nature article published on-line recently, a fourth factor has been recognized. Hough et al. (Nature Geoscience, October 17, 2010 on-inline publication) installed portable seismometers to monitor after-shocks and found that the topographic shape of the ridge amplified the ground motions were strongly amplified at frequencies between ~0.5-20 Hz, a frequency range that corresponds to the fundamental periods of 1-5 story buildings.  By modeling the ridge as a wedge with an internal angle of 135 degrees, and a width of 400 m, they were able to provide an analytic solution that an amplification of 2.7 for frequencies of ~7 Hz, in good agreement with the observations.  This work suggests that topographic effects need to be incorporated into microzonation maps that characterize seismic hazards.

Wednesday, October 20, 2010

Hail, hail, the ?'s all here!

Hail damage to a windshield.

Hail causes nearly $1 billion damage in the US each year, mainly to crops, but buildings, vehicles, and people are not immune to hail damage.  On April 30, 1988, a hailstorm in India is believed to have killed 246 people and 1600 animals. More intriguingly, it is believed that a huge hail storm may have killed at least 200 nomads in the Himalayas during the 9th century. The nomads are believed to have been Hindu pilgrims, and more than 600 bodies may remain buried in the ice.  Their skeletal remains are being disgorged from ice high in the mountains.  The skulls of these people showed short, deep cracks caused by round objects about the size of cricket balls.  This event may have inspired a traditional song of the Himalayan women that describes a goddess "so enraged at outsiders who defiled her mountain sanctuary that she rained death upon them by flinging hailstones 'hard as iron.' " A hailstone the size of a baseball falls at something like 100 mph, about the velocity of the throw of a major league pitcher. Hail can damage airplanes because they fly at speeds of 200-300 mph, and on April 4, 1977 a DC-9 crashed in Georgia when both engines of the plane ingested hail.  The plane crashed an burned, killing two crew members, 60 of 81 passengers, and 8 on the ground. Hail does not reach even higher speeds because of several factors: the turbulence of the atmosphere prevents a straight-line path from cloud to ground, and hailstones also bump each other and raindrops.  Hailstones deform during their descent because of friction with the atmosphere, and cannot be modeled as perfect spheres.  Small hailstones are commonly nearly spherical, but large hailstones are almost never spherical.

Tuesday, October 19, 2010

Mount Etna, Italy--a new model for why it exists where it does

Mount Etna, Italy  (photo from NASA)
Mount Etna, the largest volcano in Europe, has been active for the last half-million years.  It is located near, but not above, the Ionian subducted slab.  A number of theories have been proposed to explain its location and existence: magma migrates up through complex fault systems, aesthenopheric melting from Africa, a deep mantle plume. In a recent paper, Schellart proposes that upper mantle material is flowing around the southern Ionian slab edge and upward (W.P. Schellart, Geology, 38, 691-694, October 19, 2010).  This model incorporates some elements of the older subduction models, and presents a new fluid dynamic model based on experimental results.  In the la experiments, two viscous layers are contained in a rectangular tank.  A high-viscosity upper layer rests on top of a lower layer made of low viscosity glucose syrup.  A subducting slab is placed on the upper layer. At the start of the experiment, subduction was initiated by bending the model slab downward, and the slab is moved to simulate the history of the Ionian slab.  Fluid motions in the surrounding material were documented by the use of sheet lighting.  Schellart observed upwelling at the (scaled) distance of Mount Etna (a few hundred kilometers), and proposes that the melt originates at about a few hundred kilometers depth. The most rapid upwelling is in the middle to upper mantle, but slow upwelling is observed all the way to 660 km depth.

Monday, October 18, 2010

Super Typhoon Megi--What's a super typhoon?


"Super typhoon" Megi hit the Philippines today (October 18, 2010).
Photo above from: NASA. Storm track below from here.  Megi is a Korean word for catfish.  
Moisture rising off the warm ocean waters in the tropics causes a mass of cloud buildup (unless there are strong winds aloft).  As the water vapor rises, incoming air flows in toward the rising column of moisture. The incoming air is deflected to the right,  and the Coriolis force starts the whole mass spinning, somewhat counterintuitively, counterclockwise in the northern hemisphere. An excellent simple graphic can be found here.  The clouds aloft become larger and more organized, at some point reaching 39-73 mph, at which time the storm is designated as a "tropical storm".  In satellite views, an indication of the tropical storm stage is the appearance of the spiral arms that spin off from the main mass.  Because the air is spinning, the rotation keeps the moist air from collapsing into the very center, the so-called "eye" of the hurricane. The winds spiral around the eye, up the wall of the eye (the "eye wall"), and down the eye itself.  Thunder and lightning can be intense in the spiraling arms outside the eye wall.


Typhoons in the Pacific (or hurricanes in the Atlantic) are storms that originate in the tropics.  Two conditions there favor the creation of large storms: warm water (27C or warmer) and the strong Coriolis effect near the equator (10-30 latitude). The main condition that prevents development of typhoons is strong winds in the troposphere. In the northern hemisphere, the Coriolis force causes anything moving in the northern hemisphere to be deflected to the right (to the left in the southern hemisphere).


In the Pacific, the typhoons originate  in Micronesia, and regularly hit the Philippines as is the case with Typhoon Megi. In the Atlantic, most hurricanes originate off the west coast of Africa and then veer northward toward the Caribbean, the Gulf of Mexico, southern U.S., the east coast, and ultimately, eastern Canada. An excellent simple graphic of the formation conditions for typhoons or hurricanes can be found here.


If sustained winds reach 74 mph, the storm is officially designated as a hurricane or typhoon. They are typically about 300 miles across, and travel at 15-60 mph until they encounter land, where they rapidly dissipate into "mere" strong rain storms.  When Megi made landfall in the Philippines, it was more than 370 miles across.  It was the most intense tropical cyclone of 2010 to date.

On the Saffir-Simpson Hurricane scale, Typhoon Megi is a catagory 5, with damage predicted to be "catastrophic".  Central pressure in the eye can be <920 mb (compared to >980 mb for smaller category 1 storms, wind speeds >155 mph, and storm surges >18 feet. Hurricane Mitch in October, 1998 left over 9,200 people dead in Honduras, destroyed over 150,000 homes, and caused ~$1 billion in crop damage. Peak sustained winds in Megi have been reported at 180 mph, with gusts estimated to 220 mph.  For those interested in aeronautics, these peak winds are Mach number 0.3!!

Saturday, October 9, 2010

Katabatic winds on Mars


Figure: This view of the north polar region of Mars shows the icy polar cap, about 1,000 km across.  The large canyon (arc arc)  in the lower right is Chasma Boreale which is about as long as the Grand Canyon, and up to 2 km deep.  The dark spiraling bands are troughs. Credit: NASA

The north polar region of Mars contains spiraling troughs up to 10 km in width and 1 km depth.  Winds spiral out from the north pole and in many places cross the troughs at nearly right angles. (In other places, such as the large Chasma Boreale) they flow down the canyons.  By comparison with winds on earth that flow down off high terrain, the winds on Mars have been called katabatic winds. Simulations suggest that horizontal wind velocities in some places on Mars may reach 30 m/s.  In the second figure here, streaks descending the slopes of one of the spiraling canyons are taken to indicate winds pouring over the rim of the canyon. They are eroding grooves into the slope and entraining material, presumed to be a mixture of ice and dirt.  The grooves are being carved by longitudinal vortices in the boundary layer of the winds.  The spacing of the grooves--hundreds of meters--suggests that the boundary layer is hundreds of meters thick (approximately two times the spacing of the grooves). Near the base of the canyon, the winds decelerate--possibly through a hydraulic jump--and the organized structure of the vortices is disturbed.  The entrained material is being dumped out of suspension as indicated by the turbulent clouds.

Added on December 18: Here's a New York Times article about katabatic winds in the Antarctic.

Thursday, September 9, 2010

More from Attabad and Hunza, Pakistan

Here's one of the most impressive debris flows ever documented.  The action gets exciting at about 1 minute.  Note the boulders that appear at about 1'20", and think about the Brazil nut effect in the August posts!

Christchurch Earthquake and Liquefaction

A magnitude 7.1 earthquake centered 30 km west of Christchurch, New Zealand, at a depth of 10 km occurred at 4:35 a.m. local time on Friday, September 3, 2010.  Strict engineering codes prevented any loss of life, but damage to buildings and to underground infrastructure was severe.  Strikingly, Christchurch sits some distance to the east of the major active fault on the South Island, the Marlborough Fault Zone, a transform fault like the San Andreas.

Auckland's waterfront is built on reclaimed land, saturated with water, and large sections of the city laid on soft sediments which remained saturated with water from the New Zealand winter. Whole areas of the city were transformed from firm land to muddy sludge. Water from the sediments squirted up through the soil during and after the quake, damaging as many as 9/10 of the homes on the flats. In one relatively new subdivision, Bexley, over 100 new homes were left unhabitable.  Where the water concentrated into small cracks, mud poured to the surface forming mud volcanoes (photo). A video showing the mud and damage from liquefaction is available here, and an explanation of liquefaction is available here.

Thursday, August 26, 2010

Brazil nut effect

Have you ever opened a can of mixed nuts and noticed that the biggest ones are on top?  When a can of mixed nuts is shaken, the big ones do migrate to the top. This phenomenon is known as the "Brazil nut effect", because the biggest nuts in a mixed can are called Brazil nuts. Here's a link to a video about this in a laboratory setting.  In "nature", the physics is much more complicated: what if the 'nuts' have different densities (imagine that one is a real organic nut, but another is a lead weight), and the rate and magnitude of shaking changes. Sometimes Brazil nuts could even end up going to the bottom, instead of the top.  However, keep the Brazil nut effect in mind as you watch this incredible video of a mudflow developing in Pakistan ( the most interesting stuff is at 1.5 minutes). Again, as always, thanks to Dave's Landslide Blog for continuous coverage of environmental hazards around the world.

Wednesday, August 18, 2010

Eyjafjafallajokull summary

Eyjafjallajokull volcano, Iceland, April 19, 2010, ASTER/Terra daytime image.

(Steve Marshak, a professor of geology at UIUC wrote a substantial part of this.)

The eruption of Eyjafjallajokull volcano has captured the attention of the world during the past week, for it has disrupted air travel to or from Europe, and therefore has traumatized transportation links, business, and tourism worldwide.  A worried public wonders why there, why now . . . and how much longer?  A bit of background about the geology of Iceland, and of the style of eruption we are now observing may be of help.

Eyjafjallajokull is a vent along one of the major fissures or gashes that transect Iceland, for this island sits astride the Mid-Atlantic Ridge, the very active boundary between the North American plate (including North America and Greenland) to the west, and the Eurasian plate to the east.  The Mid-Atlantic Ridge is, in geologic jargon, a divergent plate boundary, meaning it is a surface at which two plates move apart.  This movement is accommodated by sea-floor spreading, a process by which new oceanic crust forms by the rise of magma from the mantle below.

Geologists proposed back in the 1960s, that sea-floor spreading takes place along mid-ocean ridge systems and that, through this process, ocean basins grow wider over time and the continents on either side move apart.   A huge volume of geologic data from the sea-floor supports this theory.  For example, the theory predicts that they youngest crust of the Atlantic Ocean occurs at the Mid-Atlantic Ridge, and that the oldest sea floor occurs adjacent to the continents.  And that's exactly what researchers have found. 

In the last few years, careful measurements using GPS (the same satellite-based global positioning system used in an automobile's navigation system) have allowed geologists to see the continents moving in real time—the process of sea floor spreading takes place without a shadow of doubt.  On average, the distance between London and New York increases by about 2 cm (1 inch) per year, about the rate that your fingernails grow, and nothing that humans can do can change that fact.  The sea-floor spreading process may seem really slow, and it is.  But given the vast expanse of geologic time, slow movements can yield great distances.  At 2 cm/year, the Atlantic has widened by about 2 km in the last 100,000 years (the time since the appearance of modern humans), and about 2,000 km in the last 100 million years.   At this rate, the North Atlantic started to open about 180 million years ago—before that time, the Mid-Atlantic Ridge didn't exist and a dinosaur could have walked from New York to London without getting its feet wet.

Most of the volcanism along the worlds 40,000 of mid-ocean ridge occurs at depth 2 km beneath the sea, in utter darkness away from the inquiring eyes of humans.  But research submarines have been able to photograph the consequences of this activity, including fresh lava flows and black smokers, remarkable jets of super-hot water heated by magma (molten rock) below the surface.  Iceland is special — it sits atop a huge plateau of lava, a volume much greater than any other location along a mid-ocean ridge.  For this reason, many geologists have suggested that Iceland is a hot spot, a region where a column of particularly hot rock is rising slowly from great depths in the Earth.  When this rock  reaches the base of the plate, it starts to melt, producing vast quantities of magma, much more than normally occurs along mid-ocean ridges.  As this magma erupts, it built up the Icelandic plateau and eventually emerged from the sea as an island.  But it is not a stable island—as sea-floor spreading progresses inexorably, the island splits along fissures, erupting currents of lava (molten rock at the Earth's surface).  These eruptions drain the supply of magma that accumulated below the island for a while, and when enough of the magma has drained, the eruption ceases.  But just for a while—inevitably, as more magma rises, and as the island slowly splits, an eruption is sure to happen again.

The last really major eruption along the fissure system of Iceland happened in 1783, when Benjamin Franklin was ambassador to France.  The ash affected the climate in Europe that year, causing an overall cooling.  It was Franklin, in fact, who published the first article to suggest a relation between climate and volcanic eruptions.  (The effect he described, significantly, is not the same effect as caused by long-term changes in the concentration of greenhouse gases, such as CO2—volcanic eruptions of the magnitude we're seeing in Iceland, or that the world has witnessed in recent centuries, such as at Krakatoa and Pinatubo, have a fairly short-term impact.  Other ashy eruptions, such as the one of Tambora in 1816, also had global climate impacts—1816 was so wet and cold in Europe that it came to be known as the "year without a summer." It's been suggested that somber climate of the last one inspired Mary Shelley to write Frankenstein)

The fissure came alive again, on March 20, when the volcanic vent called Eyjafjallajokull awakened from repose with an eruption on the northeast flank, in a narrow 2-km ice free zone between it and neighboring Katla volcano[1].  Low fire fountains reminiscent of Hawaiian volcanism burst from a 500 meter long fissure, and a small plume of ash less than 1 km high developed.  This eruption continued intermittently until April 12.

After a very brief repose, magma worked its way into the central glacier-covered crater and a new eruption started just after midnight on the 14th of April.  A series of vents opened up along a fissure nearly 2 km long.  The intruded magma provide heat to melt the glacial ice, producing floods of water, known as Jokulhlaups, that flowed under the ice toward the southern coast of Iceland. These reached the coast around noon on April 14, destroying roads, infrastructure and farmlands. Icelandic geologists have done a wonderful job of monitoring and forecasting the eruptions, and 800 people were safely evacuated before the devastation hit.

When daylight broke, an eruption plume was observed, reaching more than 8 km height, carrying ash high into the atmosphere where the jet stream was parked over Iceland.  During the first three days, some 70-80 million cubic meters of magma were discharged, at an average rate of about 750 tonnes/second.

The change in eruptive style between the March and April phases of this eruption can be attributed to the availability of water to the magma.  The March eruptions were “dry”, driven only by the fairly minor amounts of gases dissolved in the magma, and by the pressure that squeezes magma beneath upward like bubbly toothpaste being squeezed out of a tube.  In the most recent phase, water from the melting glaciers sank downwards through the ground and came into contact with the magma and surrounding hot rocks.  Where the water only contacts hot rocks, it vaporizes and rises to form billows of white steam.  But where it contacts the magma, it abruptly cools (is "quenched") and the magma, causing it to solidify almost instantly, into glass.  The result produces vast quantities of fine volcanic ash that are then blown out of the volcano in dark roiling ash clouds. In places where the water has contacted the magma, the production of ash exposes more magma to more water and so the process feeds on itself creating more material to that erupts into the plume. 

What does the ash consist of?  Viewed under a microscope, it looks like tiny, jagged flakes and slivers of glass.  Chemically, the ash consists of the same elements that make up the magma—mostly silica (SiO2), magnesium oxide, and iron oxide.  Silica is the same chemical compound that comprises the familiar mineral quartz, which when melted and quenched produces window glass.  Ashy, steamy eruptions such as the one now occurring in Iceland are called phreatomagmetic eruptions, meaning that the eruption is driven not only by magma with its dissolved gases, but surface waters (the “phreato” part of the word).  In this case, the surface waters are being produced by melting of the ice cap on top of Eyjafjallajokull.  The combination produces very explosive eruptions and is one reason that Iceland carries the nickname “Land of Fire and Ice”.

Winds carried the ash toward Europe where it arrived on April 15, causing the closure of air traffic throughout Scandanavia and northern Europe. Unusual stagnant high-pressure conditions in Europe have prevented the ash cloud from dispersing, causing continued air transport and economic problems in Europe. The ash plume activity Ha continued to the present, with an average height of 5 km and pulses to 8 km. 

When the magma fragments into fine ash particles, static electricity builds up on the particles and is then discharged in magnificent displays of lightning.  Recent research suggests that volcanic plumes rotate around their axis, like super-cell thunderstorms.  Due to the rotation, electrically charged ash particles are spun out away from the axis to form a sheath on the exterior of the plume, causing dramatic lightning displays to be concentrated in the sheath. 

How long will the eruption occur?  No one can predict exactly, but careful monitoring will minimize the unexpected. What will the weather be like when the next eruption occurs? No one can predict at all! This eruption was a very small one by global standards, but it occurred just when the atmospheric conditions were right to make conditions in Europe miserable. It is a volcano-weather pattern that is statistically very small.  Seismic activity called “volcanic tremor” now occurring in Iceland suggests that the area is remaining active, at least underground  Only time will tell if 2010 will be another year without a summer.


[1]Steve, not sure how to cite references. Much of the factual material taken from http://www.evropusamvinna.is/page/ies_Eyjafjallajokull_eruption.  I’m leaving the units in metric until we decide if we’re really doing this.  Much more accurate and easy to check.

Monday, August 9, 2010

Large Landslide in British Columbia, Canada

On August 6, a melting glacier in British Columbia, Canada, was reported to have triggered a massive muddy landslide at 5:30 a.m. Later reports, still somewhat confusing, say that it was actually the Capricorn glacier itself that gave way. The area affected is about 150 miles north of Vancouver, British Columbia.  This is an area of unstable volcanic rocks prone to landslides.  The estimated volume of the slide is estimated to be 40 million cubic meters, and is the second largest slide in Canadian history, the largest being the Hope slide of 1965 that had a volume of 46-million cubic meters.  The new slide is being referred to as the Mount Meager slide.  The slide stopped in the area where Megher Creek intersects the Lillooet River, and temporarily damed the Lillooet.  A temporary lake was formed containing 1.5 - 3 million cubic meters of water, but breached through the dam early in the morning of August 7 (3:00 a.m.)  It cut a breach between 25-50 meters wide (contrast this to the on-going drama at Attabad in Pakistan). Further information is here, as well as more photos. The photo attached was taken by "Bonny Makarewicz, Special to the [Vancouver] Sun", and can be found in the reference cited.

Monday, July 26, 2010

Dam break in Iowa

dam break story
I am on travel and will update this when I return.

Thursday, July 22, 2010

Update on Channel Geometry at Attabad


The Pamir Times published a new, but lower resolution photo, of the spillway at Attabad a few days ago.  There has been substantial erosion of the channel in the downstream portions, but it is difficult to tell whether or not the upstream choke point has changed as much. The lake level has been rising in response to the summer runoff season, but has plummeted the past few days.  The reasons are not clear; details and speculations here.  Yesterday, Dave's landslide blog reported that officials in Pakistan have decided to blast the spillway to lower the lake level several 80 meters in order to try to restore the Karakoram highway to China that has been drowned out by the blockade lake.  This is clearly a major, and potentially hazardous, engineering task.

Sunday, July 4, 2010

New Video by Nisar Ahmed on Hunza

Official news regarding the Attabad landslide and the situation in Hunza has been slow lately, but a new video by a local director provides both a historical perspective, spectacular scenary about the valley, a documentary of its people, and a political perspective on the situation of the humanitarian crisis. The people are long-lived, and have a nearly 90% literacy rate. I had not realized that the people noticed cracks in the ground in 2002, the government had apparently declared a red zone, but done nothing to enforce it.  More than 25,000 people have been displaced since January 4.  The lake is currently about 27 km long, inflow about equals outflow during this high season of the melting and runoff. I highly recommend this video for witnessing the courage of an incredible people in the face of an ongoing natural disaster and humanitarian crisis.